What If?

Does your business have an emergency response plan? What about
your family crisis response plan? Who needs to know your
whereabouts in an emergency?

In business, we have contingency management, “con-man.” For the
Army we wrote and exercised contingency plans. In our personal
lives, we should also consider in advance those times when life
throws us a curve, when things don’t go the way we planned it.

One very useful technique is to do mental “what if” drills in
order to anticipate obstacles before they occur. Use your “over
the horizon” radar to look into the future. Then run different
scenarios of future events through your mind. What if there was a
bomb threat while you were visiting another office and everyone
had to evacuate the building? You have to take your mother to the
hospital in a few minutes and your car keys are in the building
with your cell phone and all your money. Your coworkers are in
the same situation. Whom could you contact? What are your
options?

Large companies hire people to gather information, “look into the
future,” and think up plausible scenarios of challenges and
opportunities the company may face in the future. The company is
then able to do contingency planning. You can benefit from those
techniques, too.

Why not think up several scenarios that are plausible for you.
Let’s say it is now ten years into the future. You have gotten
your Masters Degree in Business Administration (MBA). It took a
lot of sacrifices. You delayed marriage, vacations, and the car
of your dreams. Now, the student loans are paid off, you have a
spouse, and you have decided to buy a very nice house in the
country. You are starting a family and what if:

–Your parents suddenly become your dependents.
–You hate your job and want to quit.
–One of your major investments goes sour just when you need the
money for the house.

Contemplate these obstacles and brainstorm some possible
solutions with a trusted friend. Anticipating obstacles and
thinking of possible solutions prepares you to deal with the
situation more decisively when problems occur. Develop some
mental contingency plans. If . . . Then . . . If this happens,
then here is how I will get around it. If that happens, here is
my course of action.

Emergency Planning
Why not apply a “what if” drill to a few scenarios for yourself
and your family just in case you are ever caught up in terrorist
activity–or just an ordinary emergency situation. In the Army
Operations Center, we did recall drills. We had a recall plan
where within a very short time everyone could be called back to
work. It works like a chain reaction. The person at the top of
the list calls two or three people, and each of those call two or
three people, and quickly any number of people can be contacted.
Prayer groups and others have also used this technique to contact
many people in a very short time.

Think of your personal and professional responsibilities. Does
your business have an emergency response plan? Who needs to know
your whereabouts in an emergency? Spouse? Children? Parents?
Siblings? Boss? Coworker? How many telephone numbers do you know
off the top of your head? Do you have them written down so others
can make the contact if you are unable to? Should you establish a
notification chain so that with one completed phone call,
everyone who needs to know can be notified? What if the phone
lines are down? Is e-mail available? If you can only reach a
coworker, will that person know whom else to contact? This is a
very practical “what if” drill you can conduct immediately. What
if you were caught up in an emergency situation tomorrow? Would
you be better prepared than you were yesterday?

“What if” drills can boost your confidence. Even if the
challenging events you encounter in “real life” are not the
precise scenario you thought up, you will have practice in
creative problem solving. “Stuff happens.” Looking “over the
horizon,” anticipating, and doing “what if” drills will ensure
that you are prepared.